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IBM Earnings Forecast: Key Insights and Predictions

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IBM Prepares for Q4 Earnings Report Amid Mixed Analyst Sentiment

IBM, a global leader in information technology based in Armonk, New York, has a market capitalization of $205.9 billion. The company is well-known for its contributions to artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and enterprise solutions. With a wide range of services, software, and hardware, IBM aids businesses in transforming and optimizing their operations. The firm is set to release its Q4 earnings after the market closes on Wednesday, January 29.

What Analysts Expect

Analysts forecast a 3.4% drop in IBM’s earnings per share (EPS), estimating it will reach $3.74, down from the previous year. On a positive note, IBM has exceeded Wall Street’s EPS expectations for the past four quarters. In its last report, the company achieved adjusted earnings of $2.30 per share, beating the consensus estimate by 1.3%, primarily due to growth in the Red Hat segment.

Future Projections

For the fiscal year 2024, analysts predict IBM will report an EPS of $10.16, reflecting a 5.6% increase from $9.62 in fiscal 2023.

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Stock Performance Overview

Over the last year, IBM’s stock has risen by 39.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index’s increase of 27.2% and the Vanguard Information Technology ETF’s (VGT) returns of 38.8% during the same period.

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Strategic Shift and Market Response

IBM’s year-long stock performance has been bolstered by its ongoing strategic shift towards AI and enterprise services, which has intensified with the growing demand for advanced AI solutions. This focus has helped position IBM as a competitive player in the technology sector.

After reporting Q3 results on October 23, which included adjusted earnings per share of $2.30, the stock saw a 6.2% drop in the next trading session. This decline was attributed to lower-than-anticipated revenue of $15 billion, which was affected by decreased spending in enterprises and an emphasis on generative AI initiatives.

Stock Ratings and Target Prices

Currently, analysts hold a cautious view of IBM stock, rating it as an overall “Hold.” Out of 16 analysts surveyed, four recommend a “Strong Buy,” one suggests a “Moderate Buy,” nine propose a “Hold,” and two advocate a “Strong Sell.”

The average analyst price target for IBM is $226.12, indicating a slight potential rise from current market values.


On the date of publication, Kritika Sarmah did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are solely for informational purposes. For more information, please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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