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ARM Holdings Set to Report Q2 Results Amidst Mixed Expectations
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) will announce its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on Nov. 6, after the market closes.
Profit Projections Show Decline
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings this quarter is set at 25 cents, reflecting a 30.6% decrease from the same quarter last year. Revenue expectations stand at $808.9 million, which indicates a modest year-over-year increase. Recently, analyst estimates have remained unchanged.
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Stay informed on all quarterly releases: See Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Strong Earnings Surprise History
ARM has posted impressive results in the past, consistently exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 22.2%.
Analysis Model Signals Caution
Our model does not indicate a definitive earnings beat for this quarter. A positive Earnings ESP combined with a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy), #2 (Buy), or #3 (Hold) typically suggests a higher chance of an earnings beat, but that is not applicable here. ARM currently shows an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and holds a Zacks Rank of #3.
You can access the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Key Factors Influencing Results
ARM is known for its innovative chip designs and software tools, which are essential for smartphones, cars, and data centers. Industry giants like Apple (AAPL), Nvidia (NVDA), and Qualcomm (QCOM) depend on ARM’s technology. For the upcoming quarter, we anticipate solid revenue performance, driven by both royalty and licensing revenues. However, growth is expected to be gradual year over year due to the timing of revenue recognition related to licensing.
ARM previously projected approximately 20% year-over-year growth in royalty revenues, expecting increased adoption of Armv9 technology, which commands higher royalty rates compared to Armv8. Revitalization in the smartphone market and gains in non-mobile sectors have also contributed to royalty revenue growth.
Stock Performance Overview
This year, ARM’s stock price has surged by 88.2%, with a 28.1% increase over the past three months. This significant rally has resulted in a high valuation, with ARM shares currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Earnings ratio of 75.65X, substantially surpassing the industry’s 38.13X average.
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Investment Outlook and Considerations
While ARM’s revenue growth has been modest in recent years, the current climate of AI-driven technology could boost sales for the company. As a relatively new public equity, ARM faces initial pressure on its margins, despite impressive gross margins. Increased investment in research and development could drive future growth and innovation.
Advice for Investors
With the stock price having risen substantially over the past year, investors should be cautious about potential corrections. ARM’s foundation remains solid, but waiting for a more favorable entry point could yield better investment returns. The company’s strong position in the AI hardware sector and advancements in chip design indicate promising long-term growth, but timing remains crucial for optimal investment outcomes.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and may not reflect the opinions of Nasdaq, Inc.
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