On September 15, 2026, U.S. stock indices fell significantly, with the S&P 500 down 0.58%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.95%, and the Nasdaq 100 down 0.69%. E-mini S&P futures dropped 0.56%, as stocks hit six-week lows amidst rising crude oil prices and increasing global bond yields. The 10-year Treasury note yield reached a 19-year high of 5.04%, and the 10-year German Bund yield hit a 17-year high at 3.57%.
Contributing factors include a bearish U.S. Empire manufacturing survey which fell 13 points to a weaker-than-expected 7.6, coupled with disappointing economic data from China, where retail sales rose only 0.4% year-over-year, missing an estimate of 0.8%. Crude oil prices surged over 2%, partially due to supply disruptions from Saudi Arabia following recent pipeline attacks.
The market anticipates a 94% probability of a 25 basis point interest rate hike during the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Internationally, European indices are also declining, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.22% and China’s Shanghai Composite down 0.54%.
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