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Oracle Stock Outlook: Bullish or Bearish Sentiment on Wall Street?

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Oracle Corporation’s Strong Performance Outshines Market Trends

Company’s cloud services surge boosts stock, despite recent fluctuations.

Austin, Texas-based Oracle Corporation (ORCL) provides a range of products and services that cater to enterprise information technology needs. With a market capitalization of $469.6 billion, Oracle specializes in cloud solutions vital for building and managing various cloud deployment models.

Over the past 52 weeks, shares of this software powerhouse have significantly outperformed the broader market. Oracle’s stock has rallied 47.5%, compared to a 22.6% increase in the S&P 500 Index ($SPX). Year-to-date, Oracle is up by 3%, slightly ahead of the S&P 500’s 2.7% rise.

When comparing Oracle to the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK), which only returned 15.5% over the past year, Oracle’s performance stands out even more sharply.

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The growth in Oracle’s stock can largely be linked to the increasing demand for its cloud infrastructure, especially for artificial intelligence (AI) workloads, as well as to the expanding use of its cloud-based database services.

However, the stock faced a setback on January 27, when it dropped 13.8% following the launch of DeepSeek, a new AI model from China. This development led to concern that the model could diminish the need for the data centers provided by Oracle and others in the sector. Investors reacted negatively, resulting in a sharp decline of stock prices across the AI industry.

On January 28, Oracle rebounded slightly, gaining 3.6% after analysts at Jefferies reassured investors that improvements from DeepSeek would actually enhance the return on investment from AI systems, helping to restore confidence.

Looking ahead, analysts project that for the fiscal year ending in May, Oracle’s earnings per share (EPS) will grow by 8.2% year over year to reach $5. Historically, the company has experienced a mixed record against Wall Street estimates, exceeding expectations in three of the last four quarters but missing in one instance.

A consensus rating from 33 analysts shows a “Moderate Buy” outlook for Oracle, backed by 21 “Strong Buy” ratings, 11 “Hold” ratings, and one “Strong Sell” rating.

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This outlook is more optimistic compared to three months ago, when only 19 analysts recommended a “Strong Buy.”

On December 10, BMO Capital Markets reiterated a “Market Perform” rating for Oracle and increased its price target to $205, suggesting a potential upside of 19.4% from current price levels. The average price target stands at $195.03, indicating a modest upside of 13.6%, while the highest target of $227 predicts an upside of 32.2%.

On the date of publication, Neharika Jain did not hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. All information provided in this article is solely for informational purposes. For further details, please refer to the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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