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Is Now the Right Time to Invest in Dogecoin at Under $1?

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Dogecoin: The Cryptocurrency Journey from Joke to Market Player

Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) has created numerous millionaires since its debut in December 2013. Initially designed as a parody of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) by software engineers Billy Markus and Jackson Palmer, the cryptocurrency is named after the popular “doge” meme featuring a Shiba Inu dog. Dogecoin debuted at a mere $0.001540753 on January 23, 2014.

By early 2021, its price had climbed to $0.01, attracting mainstream investors. Following high-profile endorsements from celebrities such as Elon Musk, Mark Cuban, and Snoop Dogg, the price skyrocketed to an all-time high of $0.73 on May 8, 2021. A $10,000 investment made on its first day would have surged to an astonishing $4.74 million today.

A Shiba Inu dog.

Image source: Getty Images.

Currently, Dogecoin trades around $0.12. The cryptocurrency has seen a decline in interest due to rising interest rates, which have led investors to shy away from speculative assets. Nonetheless, even a $10,000 investment from 2014 remains substantial, worth nearly $779,000 today. While Dogecoin is divisive, some optimistic investors hope its price could rebound to previous highs and reach $1 in the future.

Understanding Dogecoin’s Unique Position

Dogecoin was built from the open-source code of Litecoin (CRYPTO: LTC), which itself forked from Bitcoin’s blockchain back in 2011. Like Bitcoin and Litecoin, Dogecoin originally used a proof-of-work (PoW) consensus mechanism for mining. However, developers transitioned Dogecoin to a more efficient hashing algorithm called Scrypt, resulting in less energy consumption and faster transaction processing than Bitcoin. Despite its speed advantages for retail transactions, the switch resulted in less robust data security, capturing the attention of loyal online supporters known as the “Doge Army.”

A significant distinction from Bitcoin is Dogecoin’s lack of a maximum supply cap. Currently, there are about 146.3 billion Dogecoins available, with an increase of around 10,000 tokens generated every minute. This ever-expanding supply may hinder Dogecoin’s ability to reclaim its prior price peaks.

Being a PoW blockchain, Dogecoin does not support smart contracts, which are essential in proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchains like Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH). These smart contracts allow for the development of decentralized apps (dApps), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and other cryptocurrency assets. Ethereum transitioned to a PoS model in 2022 for greater energy efficiency.

Dogecoin’s absence of a strong developer community complicates its valuation. However, several companies, including Tesla, Microsoft, and AMC, have adopted it as a payment option, which might help stabilize its price over time.

Are Dogecoin’s Growth Drivers Sufficient?

Earlier this year, Coinbase Global (NASDAQ: COIN) introduced new futures trading options for Dogecoin, potentially setting the stage for future exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or spot price ETFs. Additionally, there is speculation about Dogecoin possibly shifting from PoW to PoS, which could attract more developers and promote price stability through new dApps. This transition, coupled with mechanisms like staking tokens and establishing “burn portals” for supply control, could enhance Dogecoin’s fundamentals. However, such a shift may not be easy and could alienate existing miners.

While decreased interest rates might entice more investors back to Dogecoin, larger, more established cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum would likely see positive effects as well. As such, the long-term growth potential for Dogecoin remains uncertain.

Is Now the Right Time to Buy Dogecoin?

Over the past year, Dogecoin’s price has more than doubled as the crypto market bounced back, but its future upside could be constrained by its inflationary nature, lack of utility, and unfavorable comparisons with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major cryptocurrencies.

With a market cap of $18.5 billion, Dogecoin’s value would require an increase to $154 billion for its price to reach $1, assuming a constant supply. Should this occur, it would become the third most valuable cryptocurrency, trailing only Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nevertheless, the author argues that Dogecoin may not warrant such an elevation in value. Although volatility could present short-term trading opportunities, consistent growth may not match better-established cryptocurrencies in the years ahead.

Should You Invest $1,000 in Dogecoin Now?

Before committing to Dogecoin, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team recently highlighted what they consider the 10 best stocks for investment—none of which is Dogecoin. The identified stocks are positioned for significant returns in the future.

For context, consider Nvidia, which was spotlighted on April 15, 2005. If you had invested $1,000 then, it would now be worth an impressive $839,122!*

Stock Advisor offers a clear path for investors, including portfolio-building advice and regular updates, and has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 since 2002.*

Explore the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 14, 2024

Leo Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin, Coinbase Global, Ethereum, Microsoft, and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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