Data This Week Reveals Fed’s Misjudgment

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Fed Indicates Possible Rate Cuts Amid Resilient Consumer Spending and Stable Inflation

Inflation remains low as the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows a 0.3% increase in June, rising 2.7% year-over-year. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% and is up 2.9% year-over-year. Vehicle prices actually fell 0.3%, contradicting the impact of the current 25% tariffs on imported cars. Retail sales also showed a significant increase of 0.6% in June, exceeding economists’ expectations of 0.2% after a 0.9% decline in May.

Several Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Christopher Waller, suggest that the Fed may consider cutting interest rates in the upcoming meeting due to the cooling inflation and supportive labor market. The Fed’s current benchmark interest rate remains between 4.25% and 4.5%, which President Trump criticizes for its impact on average Americans.

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