Chris Graebe, an analyst at Weiss Ratings, emphasizes that the most significant profits from the upcoming SpaceX IPO will go to investors who entered years ago, long before the current valuations. Graebe advises caution for retail investors looking to participate in the IPO frenzy, noting that typical online offers, such as fractional shares, may be speculative and not reliable. He highlights that under the JOBS Act of 2016, everyday investors can access private companies through SEC-qualified Regulation A offerings, with around 490 to 500 active listings requiring minimum investments of $100 to $500.
One notable investment highlighted by Graebe is Starfighters Space (NYSE American: FJET), which operates modified aircraft for air-launching small satellites. Graebe invested at $3.59 per share, with shares rising to $31.50 shortly after its NYSE debut. He also mentions BeatBox Beverages, which attracted a $1 million investment from Mark Cuban and later sold a majority stake to Anheuser-Busch for up to $490 million, yielding returns of approximately 5x to 6x for early investors. Additionally, Eagle Nuclear Energy Corp. (Nasdaq: NUCL) recently began trading after a SPAC merger, holding a significant uranium deposit in Oregon and peaking at around $14 per share, and Conexeu Sciences (Nasdaq: CNXU), a biotech firm with volatile stock performance since its May 2026 IPO.
Graebe warns of IPO market trends, recalling the 1999 dot-com crash and the subsequent correction following a record number of IPOs in 2021. He notes that the current IPO cycle may have another 1.5 to 2 years before it resets and says that historical patterns suggest that the most compelling private investment opportunities often arise during periods of IPO market pullback.
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